Government quota in Private Medical Colleges in Tamilnadu – Expected NEET cut off 2021

Expected NEET cut off 2021

Usually, after government medical colleges, all students prefer Government quota in Private Medical Colleges. So cut off for both government medical colleges and private medical colleges are somewhat important for NEET aspirants.

In terms of private medical college admissions, all seats are filled through the Tamil Nadu state itself. There is no central government quota. 

From each college, a few seats are reserved for the State Government Quota and the rest of them are allocated for the Management Quota. On the TN Medical Selection website, you can apply for these 2 separately whenever the applications are out.

Here in this post I am gonna get you through the expected NEET cut off for government quota in private medical colleges for the year 2021 and the expected cut off for Management quota will be published shortly in a new blog post.

I can create 3 stages of expected cutoffs for you so that you can predict how your marks will perform. Each of these three levels of cut-off calculations has its own precision and accuracy.

  • Low accuracy expected cut off (80%) – Using last year cut off, seat matrix and this year seat matrix
  • Moderate accuracy cut off (95%) – Using Times of India reports
  • Highly accurate cut off (99%) – Using the official Rank list
Also, keep in mind that all of my cut-off marks are the final marks you’ll expect in mop-up (3rd round counselling). So first-round counselling generally gets 10 marks higher than my estimate.

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Government quota seat matrix in Tamilnadu Medical Colleges in 2021

Government quota in Tamilnadu medical colleges has seats from contributions of Pure government medical colleges, Semi government medical colleges and private medical colleges.

 

1. Government Quota in Tamilnadu Government medical colleges

S. NoCategory Seat matrix7.5% Horizontal reservation to Govt school students
1OC85570
2BC73360
3BCM978
4MBC55344
5SC41533
6SCA837
7ST282
Total seats2764224
2988

 

2. Government Quota in Tamilnadu Semi Government medical colleges

S. NoCategory 

Seat matrix

7.5% Horizontal reservation to Govt school students
1OC181
2BC161
3BCM20
4MBC121
5SC101
6SCA20
7ST10
Total seats614
65

 

3. Government Quota in Private medical colleges in Tamilnadu

S. NoCategory Seat matrix7.5% Horizontal reservation to Govt school students
1OC40131
2BC34228
3BCM454
4MBC25821
5SC19416
6SCA393
7ST131
Total seats1292104

1396

As you all probably know Government Quota in Private medical colleges will always finish up only after the completion of seats in Government and Semi government medical colleges.

So in order to find out the real cut off for Government Quota in Private medical colleges, we need to add Government and semi government medical colleges seats along with the Private medical colleges.

Total no of seats in Government Quota apart from 7.5% reservation : 2764 + 61 + 1292 = 4117

Previous year cut off for Government quota in private medical colleges

We got the specific cut off for each category from the allotted list from last year and the year before last year. Before moving on to the cut off part, we must first understand what the cut off was previously; only then will we have a clearer picture of the cut off. I hope you understand.

S. NoCategoryNEET 2019 cutoffNEET 2020 cutoff
1OC452543
2BC430517
3BCM408492
4MBC399491
5SC321402
6SCA209304
7ST197281

 

NEET 2020 General rankNEET 2020 Community rank
2946
42542642
5595239
56471224
11074860
16161203
1671849

Tamilnadu Government quota seat matrix comparision

We need to compare 2020 and 2021 total government quota seats in order to find out our low accuracy cut off (80%). 

1. Government Quota MBBS seats in 2020

The pure number of seats apart from 7.5% in each stream of colleges,

  • Government Medical College seats under GQ – 2764
  • Semi Government Medical College seats under GQ – 65
  • Private  Medical College seats under GQ – 1195
  • Government dental college seats (Added because usually all the government dental seats will be filled before all private college seats are filled ) – 79

Total seats that were filled before the last seat of Government quota private medical college seat filling = 4103

  • Seats that were given in the name of special category = 156 + 6 = 162
  • Total no of seats that were returned after special category counseling = 95 + 4 = 99
  • Total no of seats that were returned from All India Quota in 2020 = 132 + 14 = 146

Total actuals seats that determined the last year cut off for GQ in Private medical college = 4103 -162 + 99 + 146 = 4186

 

2. Government Quota MBBS seats in 2021

The pure number of seats apart from 7.5% in each stream of colleges,

  • Government Medical College seats under GQ – 2764
  • Semi Government Medical College seats under GQ – 65
  • Private  Medical College seats under GQ – 1292 (Approximately 97 seats that have been increased in GQ)
  • Government dental college seats (Added because usually all the government dental seats will be filled before all private college seats are filled ) – 79

Total seats that are going to be filled before the last seat of Government quota private medical college seat filling = 4200

  • Seats that are going to be reserved for special category ∼ 162
  • Total no of seats that are going to be returned after special category counseling ∼ 99
  • Total no of seats that are going to be returned from All India Quota in 2021 ∼ 146

Total actuals seats that determined the last year cut off for GQ in Private medical college = 4103 -162 + 99 + 146 = 4283

 

3. New 11 Government & 4 private medical colleges

There is a flood of information on the internet that this year will see the addition of 11 new medical colleges (4 of which are almost ready) and 4 new private medical colleges. However, please do not get trapped here. Anyway, let’s see how the number of seat changes if they’re added.

I am seeing 2 probabilities here,

  • There is an 80% chance of the addition of 4 new Government medical colleges. This means about 493 seats will be added to the 4283 seats. Total seats will be 4776.
  • Or if you people are lucky enough then there will be an addition of all 15 medical colleges (30% chance). This means about 1849 + 364 (2213) seats will be added to the 4283 seats. Total seats will be 6496.

Disclaimer:

493, 1849, and 364 are the final product of seats after 7.5% reservation special category reserve and return and the AIQ return.

Things to consider before calculating the cut off mark

Before we go right into calculating the NEET cut off 2021 in Tamilnadu, there are a few factors to keep in mind. These factors will improve the calculation’s effectiveness and reliability.

Remember these factors will be useful only after the Times of India report or Rank list.

Until then cut off marks will be calculated based on the last year’s cut off and seat matrix in comparison with this year’s seat matrix.

1. Reservation in NEET 2021 Tamil Nadu

We already know that the private medical college seats would be the last to be filled from the government quota, while government and semi-government seats will be filled first. So, in order to determine the cut-off, we must first determine the total weight of seats in each category.

 

S. NoCommunity% reserve

Total

seats

7.5%
1OC31%

855+

18+

401

90+

1+

31

2BC26.5%

733+

16+

342

60+

1+

28

3BCM3.5%

97+

2+

45

8+

0+

4

4MBC20%

553+

12+

258

44+

1+

21

5SC15%

415+

10+

194

33+

1+

16

6SCA3%

83+

2+

39

7+

0+

3

7ST1%

28+

1+

13

2+

0+

1

Total seats4117332

 

2. NEET Marks vs rank in Tamilnadu

For the academic year 2021, NEET marks vs rank in Tamilnadu is a crucial element that will affect the NEET cut off in Tamilnadu. We won’t know how much this year’s NEET marks vs rank differ from previous year’s until we get the rank list.

The Times Of India, on the other hand, will generally analyze the NEET marks vs. rank for each year. This will be as accurate as possible, as it will be reflected in the merit list exactly. I made this comment since TOI has proven its reliability over the past two years.

Because neither of them has been released yet, the reliability of this predicted cut off could be less.

 

MARK RANGE20202021
701 and above3Yet to be released
651 – 700146
601 – 650819
551 – 6001654
501 – 5502496
451 – 5002955
401 – 4503063
351 – 4002755
301 – 3502438
601 and above968
501 and above2496

 

3. Same mark density and probability

After NEET marks vs rank, the expected NEET cut off 2021 in Tamilnadu is mainly dependent on the same mark density. This is an analogy and can only be used if we know the TOI or rank list.

Expected NEET cut off 2021 calculation method

I am going to enlighten you with my entire calculating technique for each of my 3 cut-off calculations in order to help you understand them better. These will be covered in more detail further down.

 

Expected general rank and community rank

This is the easiest one of all time. We can figure this out using the cutoff from last year and the seat matrix from both last year and this year. This is simply a unitary method of calculation that we learned in elementary school. Cut off calculation will be explained in each category.

 

  • Expected NEET General rank = This year seat matrix × Last year General rank ⁄  Last year total matrix
  • Expected NEET Community rank = This year seat matrix × Last year Community rank ⁄  Last year total matrix

 

Low accuracy expected cut off (80%)

As the name says it’s an approximate value no one can’t define the cut off until either the Times of India report or Rank list release.

NEET expected cut off mark = mainly depends on the factors 3 factors (Rank list determining factors)

  • The total number of candidates who appeared in NEET 2021
  • The difficulty level of NEET exam 2021
  • Students performance

I explained these factors in one of the blogs, read it for better understanding,

According to the above factors, records, and analysis of various sectors thus far, the cut-off increase for OC, BC, BCM, and MBC will be about 45 to 60 marks. And it may rise between 50 and 70 marks for SC, SCA, and ST. It’s only a speculative, statistical, and historical prediction.

 

Moderate accuracy expected cut off (95%)

Because the data we’ll be using comes from a news channel called Times of India, which generally provides a statistical NEET mark vs rank of each state even before the official rank list, we may expect moderate accuracy. Over the past two years, TOI has proven its reliability and accuracy.

The factors that we are going to use here are

  • TOI reports,
  • Expected general rank,
  • Last year merit list and
  • The same mark density and probability method

Step by step to determine your category expected cut off mark:

  1. First of all, know what is your community (Let’s say you are OC)
  2. Then find out the General rank and community rank by using the unitary method and all my data above (let’s say Expected GR = 2985)
  3. Find out the nearest range to the expected GR from TOI reports (Let’s take as per TOI total of 2697 students take over 550 marks)
  4. Now take the last year merit list
  5. Find General rank 2697 in last year merit list
  6. You will see a mark obviously less than 550 (Let’s say you are seeing 459 marks in GR 2697)
  7. Mark as 550 (The TOI mark) in that GR 2697 holding 459
  8. As we need to go to find the Expected GR 2965 We need to scroll down until you see the mark 458 in the last year merit list
  9. Let’s say we see the first 458 mark at GR 2707
  10. Mark there as 549
  11. Then go again search for the first 457 mark
  12. Let’s say when you reach GR 2985 you have the marked score of 543
  13. And there you go that’s your expected category cut off mark.
  14. If you have TOI report more than the expected GR then you need to scroll upwards (Means you will add marks instead of decreasing from the TOI mark)

 

Highly accurate expected cut off (99%)

We may expect a highly accurate cut off because here the data we’ll be using is the official rank list.

The factors that we are going to use here are

  • Official rank list,
  • Expected general rank and
  • Expected community rank

Step by step to determine your category expected cut off mark:

  1. First of all, know what is your community (Let’s say you are OC)
  2. Then find out the General rank and community rank by using the unitary method and all my data above (let’s say Expected GR = 2985)
  3. Find out the GR 2965 in the official rank list
  4. And there you go that’s your expected category cut off mark
  5. You can even actually use the expected community rank and cross-check with the same community rank in the official rank list.

Expected NEET 2021 cut off for Government Quota in Private Medical Colleges

As of now, we don’t have the official rank list or the Time of India report, So we have to rely on the low accuracy cut off calculation(80%). Let’s see in the order of expected general rank, community rank, and cut off mark.

 

Expected General rank for each category

On each side of OC, BC, BCM, and MBC, you can add 50 to 100 ranks.

You can add 200 to 400 on each side for SC, SCA, and ST.

 

S. NoCategoryGRGR with 4 collegesGR with 15 colleges
1OC∼ 3014∼ 3361∼ 4572
2BC∼ 4353∼ 4854∼ 6602
3BCM∼ 5725∼ 6384∼ 8683
4MBC∼ 5778∼ 6443∼ 8763
5SC∼ 11331∼ 12635∼ 17185
6SCA∼ 16536∼ 18439∼ 25079
7ST∼ 17105∼ 19074∼ 25944

 

Expected Community rank for each category

These expected community ranks can be raised or lowered by 10 to 15 ranks on each side for BC, MBC, and SC.

For BCM and SCA, you can add 5 to 10 ranks less or more on each side.

For ST, you can add 5 ranks less or more on either side.

 

S. NoCategoryCRCR with 4 collegesCR with 15 colleges
1OC
2BC∼ 2703∼ 3014∼ 4100
3BCM∼ 245∼ 273∼ 371
4MBC∼ 1252∼ 1397∼ 1900
5SC∼ 880∼ 981∼ 1335
6SCA∼ 208∼ 231∼ 315
7ST∼ 50∼ 56∼ 76

 

Expected cut off mark for each category

These prediction cut-off marks can be adjusted by 10 marks on each side.

 

S. NoCategoryCut offCut off with 4 collegesCut off with 15 colleges
1OC∼ 575∼ 555∼ 515
2BC∼ 555∼ 535∼ 495
3BCM∼ 545∼ 520∼ 480
4MBC∼ 545∼ 520∼ 480
5SC∼ 470∼ 440∼ 400
6SCA∼ 380∼ 350∼ 310
7ST∼ 350∼ 320∼ 275

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Blessing Hebron Alex
9 months ago

Nice bro useful

sanjeev
9 months ago

bro joining new gvmt clg or joinig well known existing private clg which is best and beneficial if my rank is in border

[…] Government quota in Private Medical Colleges in Tamilnadu – Expected NEET cut off 2021 […]

Jesi
6 months ago

Will i get self finance college with 454 marks bc category

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