Tamilnadu Medial counselling for MBBS and BDS is going to start start up soon nearly before November 18. As per the Tamilnadu Medical counselling prospectus Tamilnadu NEET rank list 2020 will be released on November 16. While this is going on a side, Every NEET aspirants are wondering about what will be the expected NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu?
Here in this post we did a perfect analysis without excluding any factors and made a perfect calculation for NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu. Here we have used the Reality reservation, Times Of India analysis and Same mark density to calculate the NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu.
Tamilnadu Government Medical College Seat Matrix 2019
Total government medical seats in Tamilnadu 2019 : 3250
- Total government medical seats surrendered for All India Quota (15%) : 506
- Total government medical seats allocated for State Quota (85%) : 2744
Total government medical seats allocated to special category in 2019 : 139
All India Quota surrendered seats
Not all the seats normally surrendered to the All India quota will be filled. After the completion of All India quota Phase II counselling, a certain number of seats will be surrendered to the respective states.
The reasons for All India Quota seats remaining unfilled:
- Most of the candidates who got allotment during the Phase II counselling will not join the Institution they have taken (they will change their mind to get seats in their state quota).
- Candidates who have joined the Institution during the Phase I counselling may leave before the prescribed deadline.
Generally 35-40% of All India Quota seats remain unfilled and will be surrendered to the respective states. After adding AIIMS and JIPMER in All India Quota counselling this year, experts says percentage of surrendering seats may increase.
Total number of seats surrendered to Tamilnadu from All India Quota 2019 : 162 (32% of Total)
Actual seats available for Tamilnadu State Quota medical counselling 2019 : 2767
Tamilnadu Government Medical College Seat Matrix 2020
Total government medical seats added in Tamilnadu 2020 : 50
Total government medical seats in Tamilnadu 2020 : 3300
- Total no. of seats surrendered for All India Quota (15%) : 516
- Total no. of seats allocated for State Quota (85%) : 2784
Total government medical seats allocated to special category in 2020 : 156
Total government medical seats reserved for 7.5% Horizontal Reservation in 2020 : 145
Total number of seats expected to be surrendered to Tamilnadu this year : 181 (Approx 35%)
Actual seats available for Tamilnadu State Quota medical counselling 2020 : 2664
NEET cut off 2019 in Tamilnadu
Tamilnadu Government Medical counselling 2019 was conducted last year between July to August. After the completion of Mop Up round the DME officially announced the allotment list for the year 2019 on TN Medical Selection website.
Below mentioned Cut off marks, Total Ranks and Community Ranks for each category, all based on the allotment list 2019 released by DME.
|S. No||Category||NEET cut off||Total Rank||Community Rank||No of skippers|
Thinks to consider before calculation of NEET 2020 cut off
Before straight away going for cut off calculation, we need to analyse how many seats were allotted to each community students (Percentage reservation) and how much they differ from the actual (Reality reservation). Then there is another one to consider is what is the NEET mark statistics for Tamilnadu this year (Times of India analysis).
1. Category reservation and Reality reservation
Normally as per the Tamilnadu reservation policy, total number of seats present will be reserved under percentage reservation of each category or community. Totally 69% of seats are reserved to different individual communities and rest of the 31% percentage of seats will be considered as open category seats and here all communities will play their role along with OC students.
|S. No||Category||Percentage Reservation||No of seats available|
But If you really look at the seat allotment list and community rank you will realize how was the counselling went beyond the percentage reservation to each category. It means all the categories actually receive more seats than the percentage reservation. This is why because, In Open Category every community students will participate along with OC students. This leads transferring of more seats from Open Category to communities.
So the normal percentage reservation will increase to a particular level and this level of reservation is otherwise known as Reality reservation.
The probability of taking seats from Open Category will remain approximately constant every year to all individual communities. Like If you consider 2018 and 2019 there won’t be much change in Reality reservation.
And also BC, MBC and BCM are the key communities which take most of the seats from Open Category. SC, SCA and ST won’t really take much seats from Open category. Their Percentage reservation and Reality reservation remains equal all the time.
|S. No||Category||2019 Reality Reservation|
2. NEET marks vs rank 2020 in Tamilnadu
While considering the NEET marks vs rank 2020 in Tamilnadu, We can’t really say the actual value until the Tamilnadu MBBS/BDS rank list available. But last year Times of India article for marks vs rank in Tamilnadu was closely accurate with the rank list.
Like that Times of India released a article for NEET marks vs rank 2020 in Tamilnadu, by considering these data we can easily figure out the marks vs rank statistics and also it will be helpful for the calculation of Expected cut off NEET 2020 in Tamilnadu.
|700 and above||0||7|
|650 – 699||12||198|
|600 – 649||123||824|
|550 – 599||364||1668|
|500 – 549||830||2543|
|450 – 499||1647||3076|
|600 and above||146||1029|
3. Same mark density and probability
We know there will be multiple candidates in the rank list who took same marks. So to analyse the Expected NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu, we have to cross check the Marks range data with last years rank list and closing rank for each category. Here the same mark density plays a key role.
For example, Lets consider OC’s closing rank as 910. But we know the data as for 1029 the mark is 600. So to correlate and calculate the cut off for 2020, we have to move upwards from 1029 rank of 2019 rank list. Whenever the mark density increases one mark in the last years mark then you have to add one mark in 600 marks.
Expected NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu
Here we analysed the Expected NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu along with Expected State Rank and Expected Community Rank. we used the reality reservation data from 2019 and Times of India NEET Marks vs Rank 2020 in Tamilnadu.
1. Expected State Rank for each community in Tamilnadu
While considering state ranks, It won’t really change every year as for as new seats and new medical colleges added for the counselling. This year
- Only 50 seats were added in total seats,
- but we lost about 17 seats in Special reservation and
- 145 seats in 7.5% Horizontal reservation.
So the Expected State Rank for each community in Tamilnadu may decrease.
|S. No||Category||Total Rank|
|1||OC||900 ∼ 920|
|2||BC||2160 ∼ 2190|
|3||MBC||3600 ∼ 3700|
|4||BCM||2640 ∼ 2670|
|5||SC||8050 ∼ 8400|
|6||SCA||13000 ∼ 13700|
|7||ST||15800 ∼ 16600|
2. Expected Community Rank for each community in Tamilnadu
While considering community rank, It will also decrease to a certain level because of less seat availability this year. Each community ranks are purely depend on Reality reservation rather than community reservation.
So what the number of seats available for each community doesn’t really equals the last community rank which is going to get the last seat.
|S. No||Category||Community Rank|
|1||OC||(124 ∼ 128)|
|2||BC||1380 ∼ 1410|
|3||MBC||685 ∼ 700|
|4||BCM||125 ∼ 135|
|5||SC||442 ∼ 458|
|6||SCA||77 ∼ 84|
|7||ST||30 ∼ 35|
3. Expected NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu
Considering about the expected NEET cut off 2020 in Tamilnadu, This year a huge change over will be seen from the last year. About 90 to 100 marks will increase in each category. Here we have analysed every single factors and didn’t really missed anyone, so the below mentioned cut off will be final for Tamilnadu MBBS cut off this year.
|S. No||Category||Expected NEET cut off|
|1||OC||603 ∼ 610|
|2||BC||560 ∼ 567|
|3||MBC||524 ∼ 535|
|4||BCM||548 ∼ 554|
|5||SC||445 ∼ 454|
|6||SCA||380 ∼ 405|
|7||ST||340 ∼ 360|
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